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Special Post Draft Edition

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Annual Draft Review

 

You can link to the draft page to review the proceedings.  Here is the 2005 Edition. In keeping with tradition, I will revisit the analysis after week one with follow up comments. So, stay tuned.

 

This year's Jaco Award for the most redundant drafter goes to Larry Malmquist who demonstrated that when it comes to using eligible player lists, less is more.

 

Thanks to everyone for their preparedness, decisiveness and efficiency. Completion by 10:15 is a new record. Thanks again to Bocce Balls' Terry Gray for the projector. 

 

Post-Draft Tradition:

This year's Nazi challenge: How many Seinfeld references be squeezed into one report?  How many can you count?  If you're keeping score at home, the number is 6 

  1. Football Nazi - the alter ego, 

  2. You suffer for your soup

  3. Nazi franchise name.

  4. Male body part/Mulva, 

  5. Festivous, 

  6. "Not that there's anything wrong with that"

Dreadlock Terry Gray, who appears to have overdid the beer and pizza on draft night, is with his guy Ricky Williams.   Is that wig made of hemp?  

Unlike the Saints and Dolphins, Ricky only cost the Bocce Balls a 10th round pick.

 

Nazi Power Ratings: NPR

Nazi Power Ratings are back for the fifth year.  Starters at each position are rated along with depth and each owner's reputation for their ability to upgrade (Rep) through trades and claims. Attempting to put quantitative values on speculative and qualitative elements is a system that can have it's flaws. Look no further than Olympic judging of gymnastics and figure skating.  That said, the NPR system usually nails at least 4 of our 6 playoff teams. 

 

This year's division names are inspired by 2005's ushering in of the Cedric Benson era.  The names were created before training camp began. They gain more irony with each passing day.

 

After week one, we have our most competitive league in recent memory. The lowest score was a respectable 53.  Heck, the Poopy Pants' record is worse than the Striders who I had nearly written off. 


Rasham Salaam Division

I see two potentially dominant teams. And three potential contenders and one depth challenged competitor. Maybe the grass is always greener but I'd prefer a schedule with more Enis opponents. Easier competition in the Enis may doom the wild card chances of the Salaam also rans despite higher NPRs. 

 

2005 Nazi Power Ratings

Possible 10 20 30 7 6 6 10 7 96
Rasham Salaam Division QB RB WR TE K D Depth Rep Power Rating
Initalone 7.0 17.0 24.5 5.5 5.5 6.0 9.0 6.5 81.0
Football Nazis 7.5 16.5 24.5 6.5 5.0 5.5 8.5 7.0 81.0
Chicago Gamblers 10.0 14.5 20.0 7.0 4.5 5.0 6.5 6.0 73.5
Loose Gooses 7.5 16.5 22.5 3.5 4.5 5.0 7.5 5.5 72.5
Commanders 7.5 18.0 22.0 4.0 4.5 4.5 5.5 2.0 68.0
Wheaton Striders 8.5 14.0 18.0 5.0 4.5 5.0 4.5 6.0 65.5
                  72.7

*Initalone 

Almost all the pieces are in place. This may be the highest NPR ever. I even love their D and K. The top 2 RBs are handcuffed.  What's missing? 

  • Fred Taylor insurance.

  • A healthy TE (that may be Pollard) Might be, could be.

  • A star at TE. Ditto

That's it.  Scary.

 

The debut of the scary WRs was not so scary as Andre Johnson and Nate Burleson were victims of surprisingly disappointing QB performances.  Pollard's five points was as good as it got for their receivers.  Caught a big break with the Walker injury.

Willis McGahee RB
Tiki Barber RB
Andre Johnson WR
Nate Burleson WR
Michael Clayton WR
Fred Taylor RB
Tom Brady QB
Lee Evans WR
Eric Johnson TE
Jason Elam K
Ravens D D
Chad Pennington QB
Brandon Jacobs RB
Michael Jenkins WE
Reggie Williams WR
Marcus Pollard TE
Arnaz Battle WR
Joe Burns RB
Lawrence Tynes K
Justin Fargas RB

Football Nazis

OK, Kevin Jones at #5.  What?  He was the #1 RB in the second half of 2004, out producing Tomlinson and the rest. That compromise landed Anquan Bolden in the swapping of picks. Combined with Tory Holt, Super Bowl MVP Deion Branch and young stud Antonio Gates, is there a stronger starting group of receivers? (A league-best 33 receiving pts. in week one, w/o Gates) You wonder how much C-Mart has left in his tank. But the Jets let Lamont Jordan go in his favor. They know something. Right?  Thanks to Pennington and Fast Willie, Curtis may not be My Favorite Martin for long.

 

Carson, Carson he's our man. If he can't do it, David can. I can only hope. Taking Carr too soon may haunt me. Right the first time. Carr is seriously stalled.

 

Charles Rogers will likely break his collarbone again. Ronnie Brown has a crappy OL and Ricky lingering. But Travis Henry in the 11th should be a nice pick-up.  And just for fun, there's Steeler RB Fast Willie Parker. Would have be even more more fun with those 20 points in the lineup.   Will Roddy may be gone by the time you read this? Almost. Is Branch's mysterious knee hurt again?  Not.  

 

You suffer for your Stover.

Kevin Jones RB
Tory Holt WR
Curtis Martin RB
Anquan Boldin WR
Antonio Gates TE
Ronnie Brown RB
Carson Palmer QB
Deion Branch WR
David Carr QB
Charles Rodgers WR
Travis Henry RB
Steelers D
Matt Stover K
Terry Glenn WR
Sammie Parker WR
Jeb Putzier TE
Willie Parker RB
William Green RB
Nick Goings RB
Roddy White WR

*Chicago Gamblers 

Some clever mid to late round drafting brought some nice value. Mike Anderson, Stallworth, Leftwich and the Bears D have nice potential for contributing.  The issues

  • #2 RB: Thomas Jones and Mike Anderson may be on the bench by midseason.  It took Anderson one quarter to sit ironically leading to being beaten by Tatum Bell.
  • WR: Porter is now second fiddle to the main Moss. Stokley's hurt. Colbert is in Steve Smith's shadow.  Trading Porter already a good move.

I see Leftwich having nice potential trade value. There are a few minor annoyances. Chatman and Garner may not be on NFL rosters this season. Graham is hurting. (was hurting)  Booker has David Boston breathing down his neck. How scary is that? Marty was running either scared or wild in week one building the Gamblers' bench stats along with top pick Portis. Time to lay off the Bears Kool-Aid and start the stars.

Clinton Portis RB
Payton Manning QB
Tony Gonzales TE
Laveraneus Coles WR
Thomas Jones RB
Jerry Porter WR
Mike Anderson RB
Brandon Stokely WR
Keary Colbert WR
Dante Stallworth WR
Quentin Griffin RB
Peerless Price WR
Bears D
Byron Leftwich QB
Shayne Graham K
Jesse Chattman RB
Marty Booker WR
Boo Williams TE
Aaron Stecker RB
Charlie Garner RB

* Loose Gooses

A strong, if not spectacular roster with depth everywhere except at TE.  In recent years, having a Cowboy or Bengal RB would be tenuous. This season should be different. Anthony Thomas could be a nice addition. Melwalde Moore could be the steal of this year's draft.  McNair is potentially a formidable #2 QB option.  A lot rides on the combination of Plummer to Lelie as a late season Denver snowstorm could dump on their hopes.  First, they'll need to make the playoffs.  Lelie didn't need a snowstorm in week one, just the heavy Miami air. Javon Walker's ACL injury may require major roster maneuvering.

Julius Jones RB
Rudi Johnson RB
Javon Walker WR
Reggie Wayne WR
Ashley Lelie WR
Jake Plummer QB
Chris Brown RB
Keyshawn Johnson WR
Bubba Franks TE
Justin McCareins WR
Nate Kaeding K
Melwalde Moore RB
Bucs D
Steve McNair QB
Ladell Betts RB
Chris Perry RB
Daniel Graham TE
Jerry Rice WR
Ciatrick Fason RB
Paul Edinger K

Commanders The Commanders

The Commanders will command respect when their first line draftees are in the lineup. They have a solid starting lineup especially at RB and WR.  But key injuries to other than Priest or Collins make them vulnerable.

  • Who is their bye week RB? (only one week to worry about as of now.)

  • What about WR depth?

  • Is LJ Smith the answer at TE or an also ran?

 Their rookie status torpedoed their reputation rating. We don't know about their ability to maneuver a roster.   

  • In KC, a formidable committee seems to have formed at RB. Fortunately both members are on the roster. But which do you start? Both?

  • Roy Williams can not be silenced for long.

Priest Holmes RB
Brain Westbrook RB
Marvin Harrison WR
Kerry Collins QB
Roy Williams WR
Chris Chambers WR
Larry Johnson RB
Aaron Brooks QB
Antwaan Randal-El WR
Tyrone Calico WR
LJ Smith TE
LaBrandon Toefield RB
Redskins D
Jabar Gaffney WR
Chester Taylor RB
Josh Brown K
Freddie Jones TE
Jeff Reed K
Mark Bradley WR
Chris Wilson TE

*Wheaton Striders

Draft attendance isn't mandatory. But it helps.  Last year's draft script delivered a championship that likely won't be repeated.  LT is as close to a sure thing as there is. Tatum Bell is not and may not start for a while, if at all.  Because drafting Mike Anderson for insurance was not in the script, the Striders may lack a serviceable #2 RB.  This didn't prevent them from winning Fun Bowl XIXVII.  I see it keeping them out of the playoffs. #1 WR Derrick Mason is a Raven now.  Not a feel good scenario for me.  TE Jeremy Stevens was a giant reach in the 6th round. But at 6'7" he does have a gigantic reach and the Hasselbeck seems to like him. But Stevens may be another casualty of scripted drafting without contingencies for unexpected turns in draft events. 

Curious roster moves continue with the dropping of Ducket while keeping the injured Jeff Garcia.  Week one fortunes turned in their favor with Mike Anderson's injury and Fitzgerald's breakout week and the Gamblers curious lineup selections.

LaDainian Tomlinson RB
Trent Green QB
Tatum Bell RB
Derrick Mason WR
Larry Fitzgerald WR
Jeremy Stevens TE
Braylon Edwards WR
Drew Brees QB
Marcus Robinson WR
TJ Duckett RB
Jermaine Wiggins TE
Ryan Longwell K
David Patten WR
Dominick Rhodes RB
Falcons-D D
Anthony Thomas RB
David Boston WR
Jeff Garcia QB
John Kasey K
Justin Gage WR

 


Curtis Enis Division 

Not that there's anything wrong with that.  It's that division that rhymes with a male body part. Isn't that right, Mulva?  And how appropriate! We have Nickboy, Bocce Balls as members. And if the Bocce Balls merged with the Blue Dogs? Sorry. 

 

On the basis of NPR, I see only two of the six members as picks to click.  But as mentioned when viewing those Salaamies (sorry), the schedule may favor the Enises for playoff qualification. 

 

2005 Nazi Power Ratings

Possible 10 20 30 7 6 6 10 7 96
Curtis Enis Division QB RB WR TE K D Depth Rep Power Rating
Poopy Pants 6.5 17.5 23.5 5.5 4.0 5.0 9.0 7.0 78.0
Bocce Balls 8.5 16.5 22.0 5.5 5.0 5.5 8.0 5.5 76.5
Young Guns 8.0 14.5 24.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 6.0 5.5 72.0
Schmued Potatoes 9.0 14.5 20.5 5.0 5.5 4.5 6.0 5.5 70.5
Nickboy 8.5 15.0 21.0 5.0 4.5 5.5 7.5 5.0 63.5
Blue Dogs 8.0 15.0 20.5 4.5 6.0 4.0 8.0 5.0 63.0
                70.6

 

* Poopy Pants

Can you say Class of The Enis Division?  I guess I just did. 

 

For those discouraged with losing their backup RBs to Dr. Chuck, keep the faith. He typically turns over 40% of his roster by week four.  I'm not sure if Housh will be a worthy #3 WR. If not, Rod Smith will. The Bus blew a tire about the time he was drafted.  So he might want to engage in some voodoo to bring about a Westbrook, Barlow, Fred, or Ahman injury. Or just play the odds. Kurt Warner is their #1 QB. With a golden opportunity in AZ, some say he has Drew Bledsoe-itis: He holds on to the ball too long.  As the main guy, he's a gamble.  Maybe Delhomme and the Panthers will be so confused over which of their 5 RBs will play, they'll just start chucking it.

 

20% of the roster has turned before the season began.

The strategy of not drafting a kicker is working as well as playing the QB matchups.

Edgerrin James RB
Lemont Jordon RB
Chad Johnson WR
Darrell Jackson WR
Jason Whitten TE
TJ Houshman WR
Rod Smith WR
Jerome Bettis RB
Kurt Warner QB
Amani Toomer WR
Jake Delhomme QB
Travis Taylor WR
Ryan Moats RB
Panthers D
Frank Gore RB
Alvin Pearman RB
Ben Troupe TE
Najeh Davenport RB
Billy Volek QB
Kelley Washington WR

* Bocce Balls

Scarred by last season's injuries to Steven Davis and Priest Holmes, Terry went for RBs early and often.  He might have reversed the order of Arrington and Jackson. The result is the same.  With three solid starters, the Balls have RB injury insulation. Their WRs are long in the tooth. Does Isaac Bruce have one more great year with the greatest show on turf? Jimmy Smith is legally blind in one eye and is in his 14th season. (He's always stared despite his handicap) Eddie Kennsion has been let go by the Rams, Bears, Saints and Broncos but has found a happy home with Trent Green in KC. Mush is on a team that's seemingly clueless for getting a talented QB on the field.  I actually like these guys, though his strategy cost him a strong #1 WR.

 

Landing Jeremy Shockey in the 9th round may prove to be their key.  With one of the night's few successful RB handcuffs, the once great Marshall Faulk provides security and prestige. 

Other than Tory Holt, the Bocce Balls drafted every other part of what they hope will again be the greatest show on turf. If the Rams will continue to play from behind, this is a formidable group that plays indoors. Bulger must stay healthy!

Shaun Alexander RB
JJ Arrington RB
Steven Jackson RB
Mark Bulger QB
Issac Bruce WR

Jimmy Smith WR
Eddie Kennison WR
Mushin Mohammed WR
Jeremy Shockey TE
Ricky Williams RB
Jeff Wilkins K
Marshall Faulk RB

Pats D
Kyle Boller QB
Rod Gardner WR
Eric Parker WR
Giants-D D
Jason Hanson K
Desmond Clark TE
Ike Hilliard WR
*Young Guns

The guns are loaded at WR. Moss and Steve Smith should be a deadly combination. (26 points in week one!) But will they be firing blanks with their #2 RB? The triumphant return of Steven Davis has cast a shadow of doubt over the value of Deshawn Foster. Will they be firing blanks with their #1 RB? The Texas early play is cause for concern with Dominick Davis. Steven Davis So Kevan Barlow may be needed sooner rather than later.  Favre seems poised to make some things happen this season.  Randy McMichael is suspended until week 5, so Billy needs to be a hero.  Oops, he's not yet suspended. Billy is gone.

Like the Poopy Pants, they have loaded up on back-up RBs. We'll see if that can work to their advantage.

Dominick Davis RB
Randy Moss WR
Deshaun Foster RB
Steve Smith WR
Drew Bennett WR
Brett Favre QB
Kevan Barlow RB
Brandon Lloyd WR
Randy McMichael TE
Sebastian Janikowski K
Troy Williamson WR
Eli Manning QB
Eagles D
Marcel Shipp RB
Derrick Blaylock RB
Todd Pinkston WR
Antoine Smith RB
Kevin Curtis WR
Johnathan Wells RB
Billy Miller TE

* Schmued Potatoes 

The Potatoes are seemingly stuffed with an abundance of talent at QB and TE. The starting RBs appear solid. (Deuce and Dunn dynamic)  There's a few key unresolved issues.  The first being: the Nazi isn't sold on their WRs.  TO may be a time bomb. (temporarily detonated) Plax has a QB that has yet to come through. And Mini-Moss is now in Washington, the place that nearly destroyed the careers of  Laverneous Coles and Rod Gardner.  Wash looks like a nice fit for Moss.

 

Droughns is not in Denver (RB heaven) any more. Is this heaven? No, it's Cleveland. Olandis Gary he's not.

 

Dallas Clark was a steal and should provide trade bait as Crumpler looks to be the man for Mike Vick.

 

The stunning new question is about Cullpepper. Does he miss Moss more than most imagined?

Deuce McAllister RB
Dante Cullpepper QB
Terell Owens WR
Warrick Dunn RB
Plaxico Burress WR
Alge Crumpler TE
Santana Moss WR
Rueben Droughns RB
David Givens WR
David Akers K
Brian Greise QB
Dallas Clark TE
Jaguars D
Chris Cooley TE
Matt Jones WR
Todd Peterson K
Bengals-D D
Joey Harrington QB
Moe Williams RB
Dennis Northcutt WR
*Nickboy 

So instead of Culpepper, this year it's McNabb.  Dante lost Randy. Donavan still has TO.  We don't yet know if that's good or how good. Nickboy's NPR took some hits because of unanswered questions.

  • What's up with Michael Bennett? So far, very little.
  • Will Cadillac be a two down back losing P.T. to Pittman? Pittman is locked in the garage. Cadillac has hit the highway at full speed.
  • Reche Caldwell: Sleeper or 3rd fiddle?  (Shhhhh)
  • Hasselbeck looks great, but will it matter with McNabb on the roster?  
  • Was Driver a worthy fifth rounder? Nickboy cashed in on Steve Smith's week one injury last year with Mush on their roster. With Walker out, it's happened again.  
  • Can Todd Heap return to form? With Mason, he's no longer a go-to guy

Some might question Jamal Lewis. I don't. I believe that Antonio Bryant will make Caldwell's situation moot. Cedric Wilson might also be a pleasant surprise.

Jamel Lewis RB
Donavan McNabb QB
Carnell Williams RB
Joe Horn WR
Donald Driver WR
Todd Heap TE
Matt Hasselbeck QB
Michael Bennett RB
Reche Caldwell WR
Mike Vanderjagt K
Antonio Bryant WR
Bills D
Mike Williams WR
Heath Miller TE
Mark Clayton WR
Eric Shelton RB
Kevin Faulk RB
Drew Bledsoe QB
Cedric Wilson WR
Doug Brien K

*Blue Dogs 

Ahman Green is playing behind his most questionable OL and seems to have a relapse of the fumble-itis that exiled him from Seattle.  Other than that, I love this guy.  I overstated the fumble stuff, but the line remains an issue.

 

I like Vick. In our system he's a 3rd RB and will single-handedly win some games for you. The next week, he'll disappear. It's a roller coaster ride. What he needs is to play on a team with a bad defense. 

 

Eric Moulds has burned me and his QB is unproven. And Lee Evans may be the new favorite in BUF.  Steven Davis, Suggs, Benson and Engram may provide nice depth Waiver wire inactivity drags down their ranking. These Dogs are much better than last year's with some potential for wheeling and dealing, if so inclined.

 

What will be done with the league's largest RB surplus?  

Ahman Green RB
Corey Dillon RB
Michael Vick QB
Hines Ward WR
Eric Moulds WR
Cedric Benson RB
Lee Suggs RB
Keenan McArdell WR
Adam Vinatieri K
Joey Galloway WR
Steven Davis RB
Greg Lewis WR
Doug Jolley TE
Bobby Engram WR
Jets D
Michael Pittman RB
Ben Roethlisberger QB
Jim Kleinsasser TE
Maurice Morris RB
Ronald Curry WR

 


Annual HO HO HO!

I've heard it said a fantasy football draft is like Christmas morning. Or Festivous for the rest of us.  After much anticipation, making our lists, checking them twice, we finally get to open our presents, see what we got and play with our new toys.

 

T'was the eve of the season and all through the league

We look at our talent. We all have some needs.

The rosters were posted to the website with care

with hopes that from injuries we all will be spared.

 

The Nazi has added his annual wit

Designed to give owners with some thoughts of OH S#@t!

But we hear him exclaim with analysis past,

Good luck to you all, before I kick you ass.

 

- FB Nazi


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